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The Tucson sector Border Patrol union local 2544 on the number of illegal aliens in our nation: "There are currently 15 to 20 million illegal aliens in this country by many estimates, but the real numbers could be much higher and the numbers increase every day because our borders are not secure (no matter what the politicians tell you - don't believe them for a second)". In agreement with Senator Mc Cain, we believe that an increase of 10,000 total additional illegal aliens added to the United States population each day.This reflects figures that include illegal aliens successfully entering our nation combined with those who overstay their visas. Census data that many, we at TAR included, believe to be incomplete, inaccurate and artificially low.The numbers in line one of Table I therefore are assumed to include a 25 percent overcount.Line 2 of Table I is similarly assumed to represent a 14 percent overcount.

the Federation for American Immigration Reform stated: "It is inconceivable that official estimates could be that far off the mark unless someone was deliberately trying to mislead the American public." (More than half of all illegal immigration into the U. Under Secretary for Border and Transportation Security, Asa Hutchinson, stated in June, 2004, that arrests of illegal aliens in Arizona had increased to 3,000 daily from an average of about 2,000 a day since March. Below are several approaches used to converge on the number of illegals entering on a yearly basis: If one out of four were apprehended as the Border Patrol officially states, that would mean that in the year 2001, 5 million illegals entered and evaded apprehension (1,676,438 x 3).

Official government numbers are often hard to come by and are routinely sanitized. This "get away" number is not reliably known, but can be estimated, therefore the methodology based upon this factor will produce a range of results as opposed to a single projection.

In this analysis, the estimate of the number of illegals in the U. This methodology consists of the following steps: Estimate the gross number of illegals entering the U.

Factor in repeat apprehensions of the same individuals and legalizations out of the overall estimate. Others are legalized and are allowed to stay in the U. The last decade has witnessed a tidal wave of illegal Mexican immigration. Between 19, their number doubled - from 4.2 million to 9.2 million, or 30 percent of the entire foreign-born population in the United States.

Many illegal aliens who are apprehended and are returned home try to enter the U. The Center for Immigration Studies noted: "Indeed, the last decade saw an unprecedented number of Mexicans cross the U. Within this number, unauthorized Mexicans grew by more than 100 percent - from 2 million to 4.8 million, or 69 percent of all illegal aliens in the United States." Though the Mexican government should be embarrassed that 10 percent of its people have fled to the U. from Mexico, President Vicente Fox's administration has embraced this reality. House Committee on Homeland Security reported that federal law enforcement estimates 10 percent to 30 percent of illegal aliens are actually apprehended and 10 percent to 20 percent of drugs are seized. Border Patrol Local 2544 stated on their website that "There are currently 15 to 20 million illegal aliens in this country by many estimates, but the real numbers could be much higher and the numbers increase every day because our borders are not secure..." and a generous official apprehension rate of one out of four means that 3 million were not apprehended and therefore remained in the U. It also should be noted that this figure does not include the millions who the Government Accountability Office (GAO, formerly called the Government Accounting Office) tell us enter legally on temporary visas and continue to stay after their visas expire.




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